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KLAMATH PROJECT

2004 OPERATIONS PLAN

April 7, 2004

INTRODUCTION

This is the 2004 Operations Plan (Plan) for the Bureau of Reclamation’s (Reclamation) Klamath Project (Project), which is located within the upper Klamath River Basin in southern Oregon and northern California. This Plan describes Project operations from April 1, 2004 through March 31, 2005 based upon current and expected hydrologic conditions and consistent with the biological opinions issued by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Fisheries (formerly the National Marine Fisheries Service). The Plan is initially derived from the April 1, 2004 Natural Resource Conservation Service (NRCS) inflow forecast. Reclamation developed this Plan to serve as a planning aid for agricultural water users, Klamath Basin Tribes, national wildlife refuges and other interested parties. Operating the Project in the manner described in this Plan is consistent with the Department of the Interior’s and Reclamation’s tribal trust responsibilities in the Klamath Basin and we will continue to consult on a government-to-government basis with the Klamath Basin Tribes throughout the operating year on Project operations. A planning process for multi-year operations of Project through 2012 is ongoing. Attachment A summarizes the planning methodology Reclamation used to develop the Plan. This plan provides an estimated Project water supply to the following areas:

  • Upper Klamath Lake delivery area: This area generally includes lands in Oregon and California that receive Project water primarily from Upper Klamath Lake (UKL) and/or the Klamath River. This area also includes the Tule Lake and Lower Klamath National Wildlife Refuges.
  • East Side delivery area: This area generally includes lands within the Langell Valley Irrigation District and Horsefly Irrigation District on the east side of the Project area. This area receives water from Clear Lake Reservoir, Gerber Reservoir and the Lost River.

UPPER KLAMATH LAKE (UKL) DELIVERY AREA

1. ESTIMATED INFLOW TO UKL DURING 2004:

  • The predicted inflow (in acre-feet) to UKL from April 1 through September 30, 2004, using the NRCS forecast at 50% exceedance, is 420,000 acre-feet for lake elevation operational criteria; and at 70% exceedance, is 366,000 acre-feet for river flow operational criteria.

2. UKL WATER YEAR TYPE DURING 2004:

  • The initial water year type applicable to Upper Klamath Lake is BELOW AVERAGE for lake elevation operations planning, subject to changes to actual hydrologic conditions subsequent to April 1. Table 1 shows the four water year types used for lake elevation operations planning:

Table 1. UKL Water Year Types for Lake Elevation Planning

 

Water Year Type

Above Average

Below Average

Dry

Critical Dry

UKL Inflow (1000 acre-feet)

More than 500

500 to 312

312 to 185

Less than 185

Occurrence(s) during 10-yr period

1993, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999

1990

1991

1992, 1994

  • The initial water year type applicable to the Klamath River is BELOW AVERAGE for river flow operations planning, subject to changes in actual hydrologic conditions subsequent to April 1. Table 2 shows the five water year types for river flow operations planning:

Table 2. UKL Water Year Types for River Flow Planning

 

Water Year Type

Wet

Above Average

Average

Below Average

Dry

UKL Inflow

(1000 acre-feet)

More than 785.2

785.2 to 568.6

568.5 to 458.4

458.3 to 286.8

Less than 286.8

Occurrences(s) during 10-yr period

1999

1993, 1996, 1998

1995, 1997

1990

1991, 1992, 1994

3. LAKE ELEVATION AND RIVER FLOW OPERATIONAL CRITERIA FOR UKL:

  • Reclamation will operate the Project to ensure that elevations in UKL do not recede lower than the average end-of-month elevations that occurred between October 1, 1989 and September 30, 1999 (the "ten-year" period) for the corresponding water year type. Table 3 displays these elevations:

Table 3. Lake Elevation Operational Criteria for UKL

 

Water Year Type

Above Average

Below Average

Dry

Critical Dry

March 31

4142.5

4142.7

4141.7

4142.0

April 30

4142.9

4142.8

4142.2

4141.9

May 31

4143.1

4142.7

4142.4

4141.4

June 30

4142.6

4142.1

4141.5

4140.1

July 31

4141.5

4140.7

4140.3

4138.9

August 31

4140.5

4139.6

4139.0

4137.6

September 30

4139.8

4138.9

4138.2

4137.1

October 31

4139.7

4138.8

4138.2

4137.3

November 30

4140.3

4139.0

4139.0

4138.1

December 31

4141.0

4138.8

4139.7

4138.9

January 31

4141.5

4139.5

4140.3

4140.1

February 28

4141.9

4141.7

4140.4

4141.1

  • Reclamation will operate the Project to ensure that Klamath River flows at Iron Gate Dam (IGD) meet or exceed the operational criteria in Table 4. Table 4 incorporates revisions made to Table 5.9 consistent with the Reasonable and Prudent Alternative in the final biological opinion.

Table 4. Klamath River Operational Criteria for Flows at IGD

 

Water Year Type and Flow (cubic feet/second)

Wet

Above Average

Average

Below Average

Dry

April 1-15

5932

2955

1863

1826

822

April 16-30

5636

2967

2791

1431

739

May 1-15

3760

2204

2784

1021

676

May 16-31

2486

1529

1466

1043

731

June 1-15

1948

1538

827

959

641

June 16-30

1921

934

1163

746

617

July 1-15

1359

710

756

736

516

July 16-31

1314

710

735

724

515

August

1149

1039

1040

979

560

September

1341

1316

1300

1168

731

October

1430

1346

1345

1345

907

November

1822

1414

1337

1324

899

December

1822

1387

1682

1621

916

January

2792

1300

3618

1334

1030

February

4163

1300

1300

1806

673

March 1-15

8018

1953

2143

2190

688

March 16-31

6649

4009

2553

1896

695

  • The river flow operational criteria include the following down ramping rates at IGD:
    1. When IGD flows are above 1750 cubic feet per second (CFS): Decreases in flows of 300 CFS or less per 24-hour period, and no more than 125 CFS per four-hour period.
    2. When IGD flows are 1,750 CFS or less: Decreases in flows of 150 CFS or less per 24-hour period, and no more than 50 CFS per two-hour period.
  • The lake elevation operational criteria will use a curve to transition from one end-of-month elevation to the succeeding month, as described in Attachment A. A similar curve for river flows is still being developed for future use.

4. PROJECT WATER BANK FOR 2004:

  • Beginning on April 1, and extending throughout the irrigation season of each year, Reclamation will release water bank water to supplement river flows according to the flow schedule agreed upon between NOAA Fisheries and Reclamation (Table 5). As long as these releases, beginning on April 1 and continuing throughout the irrigation season, comply with agreed-upon flow schedules, regardless of whether spill conditions contributed to achieving those flows, Reclamation will have fulfilled its BO flow obligations. Reclamation understands that NOAA Fisheries agrees to this provision. If the water year type is changed, then NOAA Fisheries and Reclamation will agree upon the amount of the water bank water remaining in, or estimated to accrue to, the water bank to use in a revised augmented flow schedule appropriate for the new water year type.
  • The Project water bank will be 75,000 acre-feet. During 2004, Reclamation is pursuing reasonable options for securing water to meet the water bank requirement. Table 5 displays the flows (CFS) at Iron Gate Dam (IGD) resulting from NOAA Fisheries’ recommended distribution of the water bank (75,000 acre-feet) during a BELOW AVERAGE water year type (WYT):

Table 5. Recommended IGD Flows Provided with Project Water Bank (BELOW AVERAGE)

 

"Below Average" WYT IGD Base Flow

(Source-Table 4)

Additional Flow Provided by Water Bank

NOAA Fisheries’

Recommended IGD Flow (using Water Bank)

Water Bank Amount used to Provide Recommended Flow (acre-feet)

April 1-8

1826

174

2000

2756

April 9-15

1826

0

1800

0

April 16-20

1431

319

1750

3164

April 21-26

1431

269

1700

2668

April 27-30

1431

219

1650

1738

May 1

1021

629

1650

1248

May 2-6

1021

579

1600

5742

May 7-11

1021

529

1550

5246

May 12-15

1021

479

1500

4750

May 16

1043

457

1500

906

May 17-21

1043

407

1450

4036

May 22-26

1043

357

1400

3541

May 27-31

1043

307

1350

3045

June 1-5

959

341

1300

3382

June 6-10

959

291

1250

2886

June 11-15

959

241

1200

2390

June 16-20

746

404

1150

4007

June 21-25

746

354

1100

3511

June 26-30

746

304

1050

3015

July 1-15

736

264

1000

7855

July 16-31

724

276

1000

8759

August 1-31

979

21

1000

1291

September 1-30

1168

0

1168

0

Total Water Bank Amount Used

75,936

 

5. ESTIMATED PROJECT WATER SUPPLY FROM UKL FOR IRRIGATION AND REFUGES DURING 2004:

  • Water Supply for Irrigation. The estimated Project water supply (assuming a BELOW AVERAGE water year type) for irrigation from UKL from April 1 through September 30, 2004 is 335,000 acre-feet based upon the hydrological conditions existing on April 1. This may be reduced by the amount of water acquired for the water bank through land idling and groundwater substitution. This amount may increase or decrease in response to hydrological conditions after April 1 because actual conditions may differ widely from those assumed by the operation forecast model. Project water deliveries after October 15, would be contingent upon availability of water from UKL and hydrological conditions from October 2004 through March 2005.
  • Water Supply for Refuges. The estimated amount of Project water from UKL for delivery to national wildlife refuges from April through October 2004 will be 25,000 acre-feet. This was estimated in relation to historic deliveries to refuges.

 

EAST SIDE DELIVERY AREA

ESTIMATED PROJECT WATER SUPPLY FOR THE EAST SIDE DELIVERY AREA DURING 2004:

  • The estimated Project water supply for irrigation from Gerber Reservoir and Clear Lake from April 1 through September 30, 2004 is 71,320 acre-feet. Table 6 displays the projected elevations of Gerber Reservoir and Clear Lake on April 1; the minimum elevations needed to meet the biological requirements of endangered suckers on September 30 (i.e. to provide adequate over-wintering habitat for endangered suckers); and the difference between the April 1 and September 30 reservoir/lake capacities, minus evaporation and seepage. The difference between the reservoir/lake capacity on April 1 and September 30 is the estimated Project water supply for irrigation.

Table 6. Estimated Project Water Supply for East Side Delivery Area

 

Projected

April 1

Elevation

April 1

Capacity

(acre-feet)

ESA Minimum

Sept 30

Elevation

Sept 30

Capacity

(acre-feet)

Apr 1-Sept 30

evap/seepage

(acre-feet)

Net diff. between Apr. 1 and Sept 30 capacities

Gerber Reservoir

4822.49

49,770

4798.1

1,300

6,400 (est)

42,070

Clear Lake

4526.24

130,400

4520.6

41,150

60,000 (est)

28,250

Total amount of project water available for East Side delivery area

71,320

 

OTHER INFORMATION RELEVANT TO 2004 OPERATIONS PLAN

COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED WATER SUPPLY TO HISTORIC DELIVERY:

  • The following comparison is provided for information purposes only and uses a BELOW AVERAGE water year type for the UKL delivery area (5 WYT) and a BELOW AVERAGE water year type for the East Side delivery area (4 WYT). Table 7 compares the 2004 estimated Project water supply for irrigation and refuges to historical deliveries from 1961 to 2003.

 

Table 7. Comparison of Estimated 2004 Project Water Supply to Historic Deliveries

 

2004 Estimated Supply

(1000 acre-feet)

Historic Delivery (1961-2003)

During BELOW AVERAGE

Water Year Types (1000 acre-feet)

UKL Delivery Area

335.0

Ave = 299.0 (235.0 to 330.0)

National Wildlife Refuges

25.0

Ave = 36.9 (16.3 to 58.1)

East Side Delivery Area

71.3

Ave = 74.4 (56.5 to 89.5)

 

ATTACHMENT A

 

Klamath Project - 2004 Operations Plan

GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF 2004 OPERATIONS PLANNING PROCESS

The 2004 operations plan was developed in accordance with the 2002 Service and NOAA Fisheries biological opinions. The information in the plan is developed as follows:

FOR THE UPPER KLAMATH LAKE (UKL) DELIVERY AREA:

1. ESTIMATE INFLOWS TO UKL:

  • Reclamation estimates the inflow (in acre-feet) using the NRCS forecast beginning in early January (for information purposes) and revises the inflow predictions in early February, March and on April 1. The estimate of predicted inflows uses the 50% exceedance for UKL for lake elevation planning considerations and a 70% exceedance for UKL river flow planning considerations.

2. DETERMINE WATER YEAR TYPE FOR 2004:

  • UKL water year types for Project operations planning purposes are defined by historic, actual inflow. The methodology used to define the water year type parameters was explained in the Klamath Project 1998 Operations Plan Environmental Assessment. For UKL, water year type is defined by the forecast inflow between April 1 and September 30 annually. In early April (usually on or after April 10), Reclamation will determine the water year type most likely to occur from April through September. As a result of ESA consultation, two sets of water year types have been defined for purposes of annual operations planning. For lake elevation planning, Reclamation will use four water year types: (1) above average; (2) below average; (3) dry; and (4) critical dry. For river flow planning, Reclamation will use five water year types: (1) wet; (2) above average; (3) average; (4) below average and; (5) dry. Reclamation will continue to monitor the NRCS forecasts in May and June. After June, actual inflow to UKL will be regularly monitored. The continued monitoring of predicted and actual inflows will allow Reclamation to adapt Project operation to respond to the actual water year type if precipitation and hydrological conditions after April 1 vary significantly from conditions prior to April 1. The water year type can, and will, be changed to either wetter or drier year types after April 1, if necessary, in response to actual hydrologic conditions.

3. LAKE ELEVATION AND RIVER FLOW OPERATIONAL CRITERIA FOR 2004:

  • Water deliveries for irrigation from UKL will be provided within the operations regime observed from water year 1990 through water year 1999 (ten-year period) consistent with the findings of the National Research Council’s Interim Report of February 2002. The observed values for the lake levels and river flows that occurred during the ten-year period were used as criteria to determine the Project’s irrigation and refuge deliveries in Reclamation’s biological assessment (BA). The operational criteria for river flows have been revised to be consistent with the reasonable and prudent alternative (RPA) in NOAA Fisheries 2002 biological opinion. That biological opinion specifies that during Phase I (2002-2005) Reclamation will operate the Project to meet or exceed the Klamath River flows at Iron Gate Dam described in Table 5.9 of the biological assessment (as modified by conversion to five water year types) plus the additional volume of water to be provided by the water bank . It also states that the flows would be modified on an annual basis by agreed upon use of the water bank for improved spring flows and/or summer flows and that by March 31 of each year, NMFS and Reclamation will determine how this additional water will be distributed for release.
  • The lake elevation and river flow operational criteria specify certain elevations/flows at certain time steps (end-of-month for lake elevations and average monthly or semi-monthly for river flows). During Project operations in 2002 and 2003, Reclamation found that transitioning from one time step to the next succeeding step resulted in abrupt changes in elevations/flows, especially when the water year type was changed to either a wetter or drier year types after April 1, as described in No. 2 above. Such abrupt changes were at times viewed as being adverse to the lake or river resources. For 2004 operations, Reclamation developed a curve, rather than abrupt steps, to permit a smoother transition of lake elevations from one time step to the next . The curve was developed in consultation with the Service, Tribes and water users. A similar curve is being developed for river flows but will not likely be available for use during 2004.

4. QUANTIFY THE PROJECT WATER BANK REQUIREMENTS FOR 2004:

  • Reclamation’s 2002 BA proposed establishment and use of a "water bank" and that the size of the water bank would be determined using criteria set out in the 2002 BA. However, as a result of ESA consultation, the Service and NOAA Fisheries established the water bank size for 2004 at 75,000 acre-feet in the 2002 biological opinions (page 11 and page 56 in the respective opinions). Therefore, the water bank size has been determined and does not require the calculation as outlined in the 2002 BA. Reclamation has agreed to operate the Project during 2004 consistent with the 2002 biological opinions.

  • During 2004, Reclamation will pursue reasonable options for securing water to meet the water bank requirement. Reclamation believes that several sources of water, including regulatory storage, forbearance of surface water use, and groundwater may be feasible for the water bank. Forbearance of surface water includes water used for both irrigation and refuges. Forbearance of irrigation use involves farmers voluntarily idling their lands in return for compensation. Groundwater or conjunctive use involves using pumped groundwater from wells to supplement surface water supplies. There may be additional shortages to irrigation and refuge deliveries due to hydrological conditions after the water bank is deducted from the Project water supply. Agricultural users would not be compensated for these additional shortages that result from unanticipated hydrologic conditions.
  • The initial water year type for 2004 has been determined to be BELOW AVERAGE and the distribution of the water bank is shown in Table 5 of the 2004 Operations Plan. The following table displays the water bank distribution, as agreed to by NOAA Fisheries, if the water year type is changed after April 1 to an AVERAGE water year type:

 

Recommended IGD Flows Provided with Project Water Bank (AVERAGE WYT)

 

"Average" WYT

IGD Base Flow

(Source-Table 4)

Additional Flow Provided by Water Bank

NOAA Fisheries’

Recommended IGD Flow (using Water Bank)

Water Bank Amount used to Provide Recommended Flow (acre-feet)

April 1-15

1863

337

2200

10026

April 16-30

2791

0

2791

0

May 1-15

2784

0

2784

0

May 16-20

1466

1034

2500

10255

May 21-25

1466

734

2200

7279

May 26-30

1466

534

2000

5296

May 31

1466

334

1800

662

June 1-4

827

973

1800

7720

June 5

827

823

1650

1632

June 6-9

827

773

1600

6133

June 10

827

623

1450

1236

June 11-15

827

573

1400

5683

June 16-30

1163

137

1300

4076

July 1-15

756

244

1000

7260

July 16-31

735

265

1000

8410

August 1-31

1040

0

1040

0

September 1-30

1300

0

1300

0

Total Water Bank Amount Used

75,668

  • Reclamation’s compliance with the biological opinions requires a water bank which involves acquiring water from all components of the Project, including refuges. The water bank amount has been established for 2004 (i.e. 75,000 acre-feet). The extent that the irrigation and refuge components of the Project provide water for the water bank will be based upon their Project water use. This means that when Project irrigators are required to reduce a portion of their Project water use through forbearance, then Project water deliveries to refuges would be reduced by a similar proportion.

5. ESTIMATE PROJECT WATER SUPPLY FOR IRRIGATION AND REFUGES FOR 2004:

Reclamation estimated the Project water supply for irrigation and refuges available from the Klamath River upstream from Keno Dam by:

  • First, estimating inflow from April 1 through September 30, 2004.
  • Second, determining the applicable water year type for 2004.
  • Third, quantifying the applicable water bank amount for 2004.
  • Fourth, determining the minimum historic amount of water for agriculture based on the year type:
  • Fifth, using the elevation/flow operational criteria for the applicable water year type.
  • Last, estimating the available Project water supply, after deducting the water bank amount, using the KPOPFOR forecasting model that may be available, keeping in mind that actual conditions may differ significantly from the model.

6. REFUGE WATER SUPPLY:

  • Project water has historically been delivered to Tule Lake and Lower Klamath National Wildlife Refuges during Project operation (see Table 7) for maintaining seasonal and permanent refuge wetlands. Reclamation considered historic refuge deliveries to assist with 2004 operations planning. The Service provided information related to refuge management and operation during various water year types. The refuges receive water year-round, not just during April-September. October-March water deliveries are important to the refuge and affect overall Project operation. Reclamation may be required to adjust refuge Project water deliveries to meet the 2002 biological opinion requirements and irrigation deliveries, when necessary. Should additional requirements for Project water develop then Project water deliveries to refuges could be further reduced. If additional hydrologic shortages occur, refuge deliveries could be completely curtailed.
  • Reclamation stated in its 2002 BA that national wildlife refuges, including Tule Lake, Lower Klamath, Upper Klamath Lake and Clear Lake Refuges, are under the jurisdiction of the Service and their operation is subject to the Service’s management and control. The BA described only those effects on the refuges that resulted from operation of the Klamath Project and not the effects of refuge operation. During 2004, Reclamation will operate the Project consistent with the requirements of the 2002 biological opinions, including establishment/use of a water bank, and provide adequate water to Lower Klamath and Tule Lake National Wildlife Refuges, when in priority and when water is available. This requires consideration of refuge water deliveries as part of the 2004 operations plan because those deliveries contribute to Reclamation’s ability to meet the biological opinion requirements and its legal obligations.

7. OTHER INFORMATION RELEVANT TO THE OPERATIONS PLAN:

Reclamation considered other information relevant to the operations plan that could influence the UKL Project water supply for irrigation and refuges, such as:

  • Comparing the estimated 2004 Project water supply for the UKL delivery area to historic UKL irrigation and refuge deliveries, and comparing the estimated 2004 Project water supply for the East Side delivery area to historic East Side irrigation deliveries. The comparison of estimated supplies to historic deliveries serves to inform both Reclamation and Project water users of potential needs for additional demand reduction/supply enhancement measures. Reclamation may investigate and implement measures to either further reduce demand or enhance supply as a result of the comparison, if needed. Such measures would be in addition those implemented to establish the water bank.
  • Reclamation considered the effects of pre-season fall/winter irrigation of agricultural and lease lands in the UKL delivery area. This pre-irrigation could, during drier hydrologic conditions, affect Reclamation’s ability to meet the UKL operational criteria for endangered suckers by reducing the amount of water storage in the lake. If such a circumstance were to arise, then Project operation could be modified in response to pre-season irrigation and/or the available supply for pre-irrigation could be reduced. This condition did not occur prior to April 1, 2004.
  • Precipitation in Klamath Falls, Oregon during February and March establishes the agricultural demand index when the irrigation season starts in early April. This index is integrated into operation planning model used to predict the Project water supply.

FOR THE EAST SIDE DELIVERY AREA:

ESTIMATED PROJECT WATER SUPPLY FOR THE EAST SIDE DELIVERY AREA DURING 2004:

  • Reclamation will operate the Project reservoirs that serve the East Side delivery area (Gerber Reservoir and Clear Lake) consistent with the 2002 biological opinions, as amended to clarify application of the operational criteria for endangered suckers. This operation ensures that reservoir/lake elevations do not recede lower than the minimum elevations needed to protect endangered suckers on September 30, i.e. elevations 4798.1 for Gerber Reservoir and 4520.6 for Clear Lake. Reclamation estimated the Project water supply for irrigation by: (1) determining the April 1 reservoir/lake volume (assuming that the April 1 elevation is no less than the minimum required elevation to protect endangered suckers); (2) adding any inflows and subtracting evaporation/leakage between April 1 and September 30; and (3) subtracting the September 30 reservoir/lake volume at the minimum required elevations to protect endangered suckers.
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